A fourth poll in the past two weeks once more shows that Democratic candidate James Talarico is leading Republican candidate Ken Paxton within the margin of error in the Texas Senate race.

The Texas Pulse/Texas A&M Bush School poll, released on Aug. 7, shows 47% of likely Texas voters plan to support Talarico, while 43% choose Paxton, a lead within the poll's 4.7-percentage-point margin of error.

“In one of the most watched US Senate races in the nation, Talarico has opened a small four-point lead over Paxton, after the two were tied in June,” ReconMR Senior Research Analyst Lindsey Hendren said. “The movement over the last two months is largely seen by looking at independent voters who now favor Talarico by 23 points, 53-30%, up from 14 points, 50-36%, in June.”

Here's a deeper look at the Texas Pulse poll and how it compares with other recent polls.

 

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